Аннотация к книге: Superforecasting: The Art and Science of Prediction
What if we could improve our ability to predict the future? In a twenty-year study, the author showed that the average expert was only slightly better at predicting the future than a layperson using random guesswork. However, some people exist with real, demonstrable foresight. This book offers insight into what we can learn from this elite group.
| Автор/составитель | Gardner Dan, Tetlock Philip |
| Год выпуска | 2016 |
| ISBN | 978-1-84794-715-4 |
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Superforecasting: The Art and Science of Prediction
- Модель: MYSH3303392
- ISBN: 978-1-84794-715-4
- Наличие:
